nep-tre New Economics Papers
on Transport Economics
Issue of 2025–02–24
eight papers chosen by
Erik Teodoor Verhoef, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
  1. High-Speed Rail and China’s Electric Vehicle Adoption Miracle By Hanming Fang; Ming Li; Long Wang; Yang Yang
  2. Evaluating the cost-emissions trade-offs of a modal shift in intermodal and synchromodal transportation planning By Heletjé E van Staden; Hannah Yee; Robert N Boute
  3. The closing longevity gap between battery electric vehicles and internal combustion vehicles in Great Britain By Nguyen, Viet Nguyen-Tien; Zhang, Chengyu; Strobl, Eric A.; Elliott, Robert J. R.
  4. THE IMPACT ANALYSIS OF CONSTRUCTION PROJECT OF MRT (MASS RAPID TRANSIT) ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN JAKARTA USING INPUT-OUTPUT ANALYSIS By Kurniawati, Wahyuni
  5. The Effect of Public Transport Pricing Policy: Experimental Evidence By Philippe Gagnepain; Sébastien Massoni; Alexandre Mayol; Carine Staropoli
  6. Does the Chinese coastal ports disruption affect the reliability of the maritime network? Evidence from port importance and typhoon risk By Naixia Mou; Huanqing Xu; Yong Liu; Guoqing Li; Lingxian Zhang; César Ducruet; Xianghao Zhang; Yanci Wang; Tengfei Yang
  7. The Effect of Public Transport Pricing Policy: Experimental Evidence By Philippe Gagnepain; Sébastien Massoni; Alexandre Mayol; Carine Staropoli
  8. Access pricing and regulation in international rail transport By Francis Bloch; Philippe Gagnepain
  1. By: Hanming Fang (University of Pennsylvania and NBER); Ming Li (The Chinese University of Hong Kong); Long Wang (Fudan University); Yang Yang (The Chinese University of Hong Kong)
    Abstract: Using China’s expansion of the high-speed rail system (HSR) as a quasi-natural experiment, we analyze the comprehensive vehicle registration data from 2010 to 2023 to estimate the causal impact of HSR connectivity on the adoption of electric vehicles (EVs). Implementing several identification strategies, including staggered difference-indifferences (DID), Callaway and Sant’Anna (CS) DID, and two instrumental-variable approaches, we consistently find that, by alleviating range anxiety, the expansion of HSR can account for up to one third of the increase in EV market share and EV sales in China during our sample period, with effects particularly pronounced in cities served by faster HSR lines. The results remain robust when controlling for local industrial policies, charging infrastructure growth, supply-side factors, and economic development. We also find that HSR connectivity amplifies the effectiveness of charging infrastructure and consumer purchase subsidies in promoting EV adoption.
    Keywords: Electric Vehicles; High-Speed Rail; Industrial Policy
    JEL: L52 L53 O18 Q55 R41
    Date: 2025–02–10
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:pen:papers:25-006
  2. By: Heletjé E van Staden (UCD - University College Dublin [Dublin]); Hannah Yee (ENPC - École nationale des ponts et chaussées); Robert N Boute (KU Leuven - Catholic University of Leuven = Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Vlerick Business School [Leuven])
    Abstract: Intermodal transportation planning combines road with more sustainable transportation modes to encour- age a modal shift. To evaluate the impact of a modal shift on transportation cost and emissions, we propose an intermodal transportation planning model to provide transparency in the cost-emissions trade-off. The model incorporates minimum load requirements, time windows, freight consolidation, and stochastic travel times to generate alternative transportation options. It also includes order consolidation to facilitate the utilization of transportation modes that would otherwise be infeasible due to, for instance, minimum load requirements. We also propose a synchromodal planning tool to evaluate re-planning and re-consolidation options in response to disruptions. We numerically illustrate the working of our model using a represen- tative network setting and quantify the trade-offs concerning costs and emissions by evaluating different transportation route options.
    Keywords: synchromodal transportation, modal shift, sustainable transportation, decision support, k-shortest path, order consolidation
    Date: 2024–04–19
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-04566898
  3. By: Nguyen, Viet Nguyen-Tien; Zhang, Chengyu; Strobl, Eric A.; Elliott, Robert J. R.
    Abstract: Electric vehicles are increasingly being adopted in Great Britain and other parts of the world, driven by the perception that they offer a cost-effective alternative to internal combustion engine vehicles while reducing emissions. However, a key element that underpins this perception is the longevity of electric vehicles, which remains relatively under researched. Here we show that although early battery electric vehicles (BEVs) exhibited lower reliability than internal combustion engine vehicles, rapid technological advancements have allowed newer BEVs to achieve comparable lifespans, even under more intensive use. Longevity is also found to be impacted by engine size, location and make of vehicle. We provide parameter estimates for life mileage that can be used to update life cycle assessment and total cost of ownership studies of different vehicle powertrains. Our results also shed light on BEV diffusion patterns, fleet replacement strategies and end-of-life treatment planning, including the increasingly important debate around BEV battery recycling and second-life options.
    Keywords: electric vehicles; survival analysis; total cost of ownership; life cycle assessment
    JEL: Q55
    Date: 2025–01–24
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ehl:lserod:126554
  4. By: Kurniawati, Wahyuni
    Abstract: Jakarta Mass Rapid Transit (MRT) is a city mass transportation rail-based rapid (fast railway) being built to reduce congestion in Jakarta. The aim of this research is to analyze the impact of the first stage construction of the Mass Rapid Transit on DKI Jakarta’s economic conditions. MRT is a rail-based transport mode, which lies in an underground passage, and is elevated by using electric power. It is currently under construction and will be operating in 2019. The project is spending extensive funds borrowed from Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA). MRT is built as a solution to the traffic congestion and as way to improving the quality of mass transportation in Jakarta. Hence, it is very important to know the effects that occur with the construction of the MRT. The research method applies input-output model of Jakarta in 2010 and descriptive analysis. This study found that by the construction of the MRT in Jakarta, it is increased the Gross Domestic Product of Jakarta by two percent, the construction sector contributed the most, and managed to increase income, as well as increasing the amount of labor in Jakarta
    Date: 2023–04–09
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:osf:thesis:u9scg_v1
  5. By: Philippe Gagnepain (PSE - Paris School of Economics - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - ENPC - École nationale des ponts et chaussées - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement); Sébastien Massoni (BETA - Bureau d'Économie Théorique et Appliquée - AgroParisTech - UNISTRA - Université de Strasbourg - Université de Haute-Alsace (UHA) - Université de Haute-Alsace (UHA) Mulhouse - Colmar - UL - Université de Lorraine - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement); Alexandre Mayol (BETA - Bureau d'Économie Théorique et Appliquée - AgroParisTech - UNISTRA - Université de Strasbourg - Université de Haute-Alsace (UHA) - Université de Haute-Alsace (UHA) Mulhouse - Colmar - UL - Université de Lorraine - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement); Carine Staropoli (PSE - Paris School of Economics - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - ENPC - École nationale des ponts et chaussées - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement, PJSE - Paris Jourdan Sciences Economiques - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - ENPC - École nationale des ponts et chaussées - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement)
    Abstract: We investigate the impact of different public transport pricing schemes on daily commuting habits. Psychological inertia, car stickiness, complexity aversion, or skewed perception of prices are expected to influence decisions. We build a controlled experiment, where participants make transport decisions and face various public transport tariffs. Our findings indicate that players are rational as they reach the Nash predictions of our model, but cognitive biases inherent to users are also present. Peak/off-peak and two-part tariffs prove to be more successful in encouraging public transit use than flat fare subscriptions, possibly due to a preference for flexibility and the ability to take past experiences into account (congestion and incident) in future travel choices. Thus, this paper suggests that well designed pricing strategies are useful tools to promote public transit use and reduce road congestion.
    Keywords: Public transport pricing, Private car, Congestion, Experiment
    Date: 2024–06–13
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:psewpa:halshs-04607716
  6. By: Naixia Mou (Shandong University of Science and Technology); Huanqing Xu (Shandong University of Science and Technology); Yong Liu (Shandong University of Science and Technology); Guoqing Li (AIRICAS - Aerospace Information Research Institute - CAS - Chinese Academy of Sciences [Beijing]); Lingxian Zhang (Shandong University of Science and Technology); César Ducruet (EconomiX - EconomiX - UPN - Université Paris Nanterre - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique); Xianghao Zhang (Shandong University of Science and Technology); Yanci Wang (Shandong University of Science and Technology); Tengfei Yang (AIRICAS - Aerospace Information Research Institute - CAS - Chinese Academy of Sciences [Beijing])
    Abstract: Traditional studies typically employed random and deliberate attack methods to explore port failure, overlooking real-world factors. In this research, we focus on exploring the reliability of the Maritime Silk Road (MSR) container shipping networks after the failure of Chinese coastal ports due to the impact of typhoons. This article analyzes AIS trajectory data and typhoon occurrence data through entropy weight method and grey correlation analysis, to construct an evaluation model for the failure of Chinese critical ports. Then, we will look at the effects of deliberately removing Chinese critical ports from the MSR container shipping system. The main conclusions drawn are as follows: (1) Except for some of the largest ports (i.e., Ningbo-Zhoushan, Shanghai, and Kaohsiung), the importance of Chinese coastal ports varies slightly in the MSR container maritime network, while it varies widely in their exposure and resistance to typhoons. (2) Ports of Ningbo Zhoushan, Shanghai, Hong Kong, Shekou, Kaohsiung, and Yantian rank high in the comprehensive evaluation results. They have a higher probability of failure when affected by typhoon risks. (3) After the failure of Chinese crucial ports, the reliability of the MSR container maritime network successively declined, recovered, and stabilized. This study can offer a valuable reference for relevant actors involved in safeguarding crucial ports, finding alternative ports, optimizing shipping routes, and improving the reliability of maritime networks under typhoons and other major natural disasters.
    Keywords: Reliability, Container shipping, Typhoon risk assessment, Maritime silk road, China, Ports
    Date: 2024
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-04665720
  7. By: Philippe Gagnepain (PSE - Paris School of Economics - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - ENPC - École nationale des ponts et chaussées - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement, PJSE - Paris Jourdan Sciences Economiques - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - ENPC - École nationale des ponts et chaussées - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement); Sébastien Massoni (BETA - Bureau d'Économie Théorique et Appliquée - AgroParisTech - UNISTRA - Université de Strasbourg - Université de Haute-Alsace (UHA) - Université de Haute-Alsace (UHA) Mulhouse - Colmar - UL - Université de Lorraine - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement); Alexandre Mayol (BETA - Bureau d'Économie Théorique et Appliquée - AgroParisTech - UNISTRA - Université de Strasbourg - Université de Haute-Alsace (UHA) - Université de Haute-Alsace (UHA) Mulhouse - Colmar - UL - Université de Lorraine - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement); Carine Staropoli (UNIROUEN - Université de Rouen Normandie - NU - Normandie Université, PSE - Paris School of Economics - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - ENPC - École nationale des ponts et chaussées - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement, PJSE - Paris Jourdan Sciences Economiques - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - ENPC - École nationale des ponts et chaussées - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement)
    Abstract: We investigate the impact of different public transport pricing schemes on daily commuting habits. Psychological inertia, car stickiness, complexity aversion, or skewed perception of prices are expected to influence decisions. We build a controlled experiment, where participants make transport decisions and face various public transport tariffs. Our findings indicate that players are rational as they reach the Nash predictions of our model, but cognitive biases inherent to users are also present. Peak/offpeak and two-part tariffs prove to be more successful in encouraging public transit use than flat fare subscriptions, possibly due to a preference for flexibility and the ability to take past experiences into account (congestion and incident) in future travel choices. Thus, this paper suggests that well designed pricing strategies are useful tools to promote public transit use and reduce road congestion.
    Keywords: Public transport pricing, Private car, Congestion, Experiment
    Date: 2024–06
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:psewpa:halshs-04610702
  8. By: Francis Bloch (PSE - Paris School of Economics - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - ENPC - École nationale des ponts et chaussées - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement, PJSE - Paris Jourdan Sciences Economiques - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - ENPC - École nationale des ponts et chaussées - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement); Philippe Gagnepain (PSE - Paris School of Economics - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - ENPC - École nationale des ponts et chaussées - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement, PJSE - Paris Jourdan Sciences Economiques - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - ENPC - École nationale des ponts et chaussées - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement)
    Abstract: We study a model of non-cooperative interaction between two infrastructure managers (IMs) for international rail transport. We compare equilibrium access charges when the IMs are unregulated and regulated. We show that cooperation among IMs eliminates double-marginalization to the benefit of passengers and IMs. We also show that the delegation of access charge collection with adequate transfers allows the two IMs to reach efficiency, both in the unregulated and regulated régimes. We study the effect of differences in regulatory policies, and analyze the effect of monopoly power of train operators and competition among high speed and low speed train routes on access charges.
    Keywords: International Rail Transport, Access Charges, International Regulation, Infrastructure Managers
    Date: 2025–01–14
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:psewpa:halshs-04892920
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