By: |
Dohmen, Thomas J;
Falk, Armin;
Huffman, David;
Sunde, Uwe |
Abstract: |
Prominent economic theories have emphasized the role of commonly held
perceptions and expectations for determining macroeconomic outcomes. A key
empirical question is how such collectively held beliefs are formed. We use
the FIFA World Cup 2006 as a natural experiment. We provide direct evidence
that seemingly irrelevant events (the outcomes of soccer matches) can
systematically affect individual perceptions about economic prospects, both on
a personal and economy-wide level. |
Keywords: |
expectation formation; macroeconomic outcomes; psychology; soccer World Cup; sunspots |
JEL: |
D0 D8 E0 |
Date: |
2006–09 |
URL: |
http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:5851&r=spo |