By: |
Stephen V. Burks (University of Minnesota, Morris, and IZA);
Jeffrey Carpenter (Middlebury College and IZA);
Lorenz Götte (Federal Reserve Bank of Boston and IZA);
Kristen Monaco (California State University, Long Beach);
Kay Porter (Cooperating Motor Carrier);
Aldo Rustichini (University of Minnesota) |
Abstract: |
The Truckers and Turnover Project is a statistical case study of a single firm
and its employees which matches proprietary personnel and operational data to
new data collected by the researchers to create a two-year panel study of a
large subset of new hires. The project’s most distinctive innovation is the
data collection process which combines traditional survey instruments with
behavioral economics experiments. The survey data include information on
demographics, risk and loss aversion, time preference, planning, non-verbal
IQ, and the MPQ personality profile. The data collected by behavioral
economics experiments include risk and loss aversion, time preferences
(discount rates), backward induction, patience, and the preference for
cooperation in a social dilemma setting. Subjects will be followed over two
years of their work lives. Among the major design goals are to discover the
extent to which the survey and experimental measures are correlated, and
whether and how much predictive power, with respect to key on-the-job outcome
variables, is added by the behavioral measures. The panel study of new hires
is being carried out against the backdrop of a second research component, the
development of a more conventional indepth statistical case study of the
cooperating firm and its employees. This is a high-turnover service industry
setting, and the focus is on the use of survival analysis to model the flow of
new employees into and out of employment, and on the correct estimation of the
tenureproductivity curve for new hires, accounting for the selection effects
of the high turnover. |
Keywords: |
field experiment, risk aversion, loss aversion, time preference, IQ, MPQ, numeracy, U.S. trucking industry, for-hire carriage, truckload (TL), driver turnover, employment duration, survival model, tenure-productivity curve |
JEL: |
C81 C93 L92 J63 |
Date: |
2007–05 |
URL: |
http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:iza:izadps:dp2789&r=exp |