Abstract: |
Media can affect governments and public policy by promoting anti-government
demonstrations. Under media pressure, a multitasking government might
reallocate effort across tasks, rather than increase the total aggregate,
resulting in ambiguous welfare effects. In this paper, I test such a
hypothesis using a database of World Bank project indicators, which measures
government performance in implementing capital projects. Disasters offer an
ideal case study because citizens and the government can differ particularly
in their preferences between public capital (reconstruction) and consumption
(relief). Therefore, at times of disasters, media might be especially
effective in shaping public policy by promoting anti-government
demonstrations. Joining capital project indicators with data on disasters,
media, and demonstrations,I present the following: (1) within-state variation
in floods and media activity for Indian states; (2) within-country variation
in disasters and media freedom for 135 countries; (3) a case study using
anecdotal and archival evidence on flood response in Ghana, Togo, and Ivory
Coast in 2007/2008. In all cases, media activity during disasters is
associated with lower capital project performance, higher relief/anti-poverty
efforts, and more anti-government demonstrations. |